Probability of getting 2 or 4 before 3 or 6
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0
down vote
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A fair dice is rolled over and over. What is the probability of getting $2$ or $4$ before getting $3$ or $6$ ?
According to this answer, it is 1/2. As there is a probability of $frac{1}{3} $ of $2$ or $4$ appears before $3$ or $6$ . Out of the total options of them both appearing which should be $$ frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{1}{3}+frac{1}{3}} = frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{2}{3}} = frac{1}{2} $$
Is it the correct way to solve?
probability
|
show 7 more comments
up vote
0
down vote
favorite
A fair dice is rolled over and over. What is the probability of getting $2$ or $4$ before getting $3$ or $6$ ?
According to this answer, it is 1/2. As there is a probability of $frac{1}{3} $ of $2$ or $4$ appears before $3$ or $6$ . Out of the total options of them both appearing which should be $$ frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{1}{3}+frac{1}{3}} = frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{2}{3}} = frac{1}{2} $$
Is it the correct way to solve?
probability
I don't understand the sentence "As there is a probability of $frac13$ of 2 / 4 appears before 3/ 6 ". Why would this be true?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:02
@5xum the probabiliy of 2 appears before 3 should be 1/6 right?
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:03
Why would that be the case?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:06
because of the answer in the linked question here.
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:09
1
@bm1125 The probability of any number never appearing is $0$. The probability of one number appearing ahead of any other number, by symmetry, must be $frac12$.
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 11:03
|
show 7 more comments
up vote
0
down vote
favorite
up vote
0
down vote
favorite
A fair dice is rolled over and over. What is the probability of getting $2$ or $4$ before getting $3$ or $6$ ?
According to this answer, it is 1/2. As there is a probability of $frac{1}{3} $ of $2$ or $4$ appears before $3$ or $6$ . Out of the total options of them both appearing which should be $$ frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{1}{3}+frac{1}{3}} = frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{2}{3}} = frac{1}{2} $$
Is it the correct way to solve?
probability
A fair dice is rolled over and over. What is the probability of getting $2$ or $4$ before getting $3$ or $6$ ?
According to this answer, it is 1/2. As there is a probability of $frac{1}{3} $ of $2$ or $4$ appears before $3$ or $6$ . Out of the total options of them both appearing which should be $$ frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{1}{3}+frac{1}{3}} = frac{frac{1}{3}}{frac{2}{3}} = frac{1}{2} $$
Is it the correct way to solve?
probability
probability
edited Nov 22 at 11:43
amWhy
191k27223437
191k27223437
asked Nov 22 at 10:00
bm1125
55116
55116
I don't understand the sentence "As there is a probability of $frac13$ of 2 / 4 appears before 3/ 6 ". Why would this be true?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:02
@5xum the probabiliy of 2 appears before 3 should be 1/6 right?
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:03
Why would that be the case?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:06
because of the answer in the linked question here.
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:09
1
@bm1125 The probability of any number never appearing is $0$. The probability of one number appearing ahead of any other number, by symmetry, must be $frac12$.
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 11:03
|
show 7 more comments
I don't understand the sentence "As there is a probability of $frac13$ of 2 / 4 appears before 3/ 6 ". Why would this be true?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:02
@5xum the probabiliy of 2 appears before 3 should be 1/6 right?
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:03
Why would that be the case?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:06
because of the answer in the linked question here.
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:09
1
@bm1125 The probability of any number never appearing is $0$. The probability of one number appearing ahead of any other number, by symmetry, must be $frac12$.
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 11:03
I don't understand the sentence "As there is a probability of $frac13$ of 2 / 4 appears before 3/ 6 ". Why would this be true?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:02
I don't understand the sentence "As there is a probability of $frac13$ of 2 / 4 appears before 3/ 6 ". Why would this be true?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:02
@5xum the probabiliy of 2 appears before 3 should be 1/6 right?
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:03
@5xum the probabiliy of 2 appears before 3 should be 1/6 right?
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:03
Why would that be the case?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:06
Why would that be the case?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:06
because of the answer in the linked question here.
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:09
because of the answer in the linked question here.
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:09
1
1
@bm1125 The probability of any number never appearing is $0$. The probability of one number appearing ahead of any other number, by symmetry, must be $frac12$.
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 11:03
@bm1125 The probability of any number never appearing is $0$. The probability of one number appearing ahead of any other number, by symmetry, must be $frac12$.
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 11:03
|
show 7 more comments
2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
We can ignore any roll that produces a 1 or a 5 since they have no bearing on which of the numbers 2, 3, 4, 6 appears first. Each of these four numbers is equally likely to appear first among those four. Since two of the four are a 2 or 4, the probability that a 2 or 4 appears before a 3 or 6 is
$$frac{2}{4} = frac{1}{2}$$
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
Let $W=frac13$ be the probability of a win (3 or 6), similarly for $L$ as a 2 or 4 and again for $D$ a 1 or 5.
Then the probability of a loss is the sum given by $L+DL+D^2L+dots$, which is:
$$frac13+frac13frac13+frac13^2frac13+dots$$
$$=frac13left(dfrac1{1-frac13}right)$$
$$=frac12$$
add a comment |
2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
We can ignore any roll that produces a 1 or a 5 since they have no bearing on which of the numbers 2, 3, 4, 6 appears first. Each of these four numbers is equally likely to appear first among those four. Since two of the four are a 2 or 4, the probability that a 2 or 4 appears before a 3 or 6 is
$$frac{2}{4} = frac{1}{2}$$
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
We can ignore any roll that produces a 1 or a 5 since they have no bearing on which of the numbers 2, 3, 4, 6 appears first. Each of these four numbers is equally likely to appear first among those four. Since two of the four are a 2 or 4, the probability that a 2 or 4 appears before a 3 or 6 is
$$frac{2}{4} = frac{1}{2}$$
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
We can ignore any roll that produces a 1 or a 5 since they have no bearing on which of the numbers 2, 3, 4, 6 appears first. Each of these four numbers is equally likely to appear first among those four. Since two of the four are a 2 or 4, the probability that a 2 or 4 appears before a 3 or 6 is
$$frac{2}{4} = frac{1}{2}$$
We can ignore any roll that produces a 1 or a 5 since they have no bearing on which of the numbers 2, 3, 4, 6 appears first. Each of these four numbers is equally likely to appear first among those four. Since two of the four are a 2 or 4, the probability that a 2 or 4 appears before a 3 or 6 is
$$frac{2}{4} = frac{1}{2}$$
answered Nov 22 at 11:38
N. F. Taussig
42.7k93254
42.7k93254
add a comment |
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
Let $W=frac13$ be the probability of a win (3 or 6), similarly for $L$ as a 2 or 4 and again for $D$ a 1 or 5.
Then the probability of a loss is the sum given by $L+DL+D^2L+dots$, which is:
$$frac13+frac13frac13+frac13^2frac13+dots$$
$$=frac13left(dfrac1{1-frac13}right)$$
$$=frac12$$
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
Let $W=frac13$ be the probability of a win (3 or 6), similarly for $L$ as a 2 or 4 and again for $D$ a 1 or 5.
Then the probability of a loss is the sum given by $L+DL+D^2L+dots$, which is:
$$frac13+frac13frac13+frac13^2frac13+dots$$
$$=frac13left(dfrac1{1-frac13}right)$$
$$=frac12$$
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
up vote
1
down vote
Let $W=frac13$ be the probability of a win (3 or 6), similarly for $L$ as a 2 or 4 and again for $D$ a 1 or 5.
Then the probability of a loss is the sum given by $L+DL+D^2L+dots$, which is:
$$frac13+frac13frac13+frac13^2frac13+dots$$
$$=frac13left(dfrac1{1-frac13}right)$$
$$=frac12$$
Let $W=frac13$ be the probability of a win (3 or 6), similarly for $L$ as a 2 or 4 and again for $D$ a 1 or 5.
Then the probability of a loss is the sum given by $L+DL+D^2L+dots$, which is:
$$frac13+frac13frac13+frac13^2frac13+dots$$
$$=frac13left(dfrac1{1-frac13}right)$$
$$=frac12$$
edited Nov 22 at 12:19
answered Nov 22 at 12:14
JonMark Perry
11.2k92237
11.2k92237
add a comment |
add a comment |
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I don't understand the sentence "As there is a probability of $frac13$ of 2 / 4 appears before 3/ 6 ". Why would this be true?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:02
@5xum the probabiliy of 2 appears before 3 should be 1/6 right?
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:03
Why would that be the case?
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 10:06
because of the answer in the linked question here.
– bm1125
Nov 22 at 10:09
1
@bm1125 The probability of any number never appearing is $0$. The probability of one number appearing ahead of any other number, by symmetry, must be $frac12$.
– 5xum
Nov 22 at 11:03